Tuesday, March 3, 2020

which approach?

alright...one should expect investors to panic like penguins at the sight of a killer whale...it is pretty much a given...and that markets should fall after the federal reserve enacts and "emergency" cut in the prime rate is no surprise...perhaps they should have omitted the "emergency"...still...is this something to panic about or do we take after orwell and try to live as normal a life as possible while under threat...do we rev up the paranoia or go on about the day while being cognizant of the fact that we have to behave a bit differently while we strive for " normal "? i am inclined to the latter...
the fact ( per the n y times ) that the virus has confirmed cases in five more states than yesterday may incline some to take the paranoia road...and given the nature of humans that isn't unnatural...it isn't productive either...the future is indeterminate...it is not set in stone and the further out you extend your event horizon the more variables your limited human cognition ( and by "your" i mean human cognition...that means mine too ) will not detect will wait to blind-side you while you are jabbering about hand sanitizer and surgical masks ( which are ineffective in themselves in deterring viruses...at least that is what i am told )...could this spread to the contiguous forty-eight states? i imagine it will...and people will perish...maybe me...indeterminate...unknown...not here yet...would rather not...will someday anyway...so you can assume a bunker mentality and load the shotgun...or you can try to live life and see what develops...i am disinclined to flip out just yet...but then i feel okay right now...that could change...who knows?

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