who knows? no one really.

"they would go unconcerned into infected places and converse with infected people..." daniel defoe. a journal of the plague year

not being an epidemiologist or a "health care professional" or some sort of scientific researcher, all i can know about all this is what i find reading around and at what i see around me...for instance...by the numbers less than two tenths of one percent of the population in the county i live in have tested positive for this virus...seems somewhat low given the angst there is around ( again, not that this is nothing to be cavalier about...i am staying home, for the most part, except for days like today when the state is demanding faxed paperwork...and i am keeping my distance when i am out and washing my hands or using hand sanitizer...i am not inviting this...neither should you )...

given an estimated global population of 7.6 billion, these numbers seem a bit low as well...the numbers and the anxiety have not matched up since the beginning...that the new york times is obsessed with this is understandable...however i am uncertain about how transferable that is to any other segment of the population or geographic location...there are counties in this state with one case..also one with 2000+...location seems a factor...

in the midst of this, big greed needs a fix and the leisure service of capital that is civil governance is wary but will cave...there has been no new executive fiat from the governor here changing the april twentieth reopen date as yet...one presumes we are going back to work...there are doubters among the governors ( not mine though...no sir...what trumpy says goes here )...

and, seemingly, not without reason...the virus is still out there...

and it may be more tenacious than we think and immunity may be iffy ( the upshot of this article is "too early to tell...we don't know...insufficient data...maybe yes, maybe no" it's on al jazeera english if you'd care to look it over and it is reflective of the cautious attitude of people who are probably better positioned to know what's going on than the governor or trumpy and stands in opposition to their economic need certitude )...that this is not over..in the media, government, or real world is obvious...how to approached is subject to debate and the powers that be are economic powers so their arguments are easily as biased as those founded in the very human trait of self preservation...the debate is an emotional one and those are always biased and basically irrational...that no one really knows what is happening or will happen only makes it more shrill...the relevant point for me is that, looking at johns hopkins' and the state's numbers, the spread of this virus is slowing...it has never grown exponentially and it is slowing arithmetically as well...a slow process...and will reopening things reverse the downward trend? my thoughts are that it likely will and that we will reopen anyway because money rules...that we may close again and in worse shape than before is subject to greed and greed does not care much about anything than itself...that the necessity of income on the part of many will add to the drive to return to "normal"...i am inclined to think that the old "normal" suffered a terminal setback in 2008 and that the intervening twelve years have been a delusional ponzi scheme which has just taken another massive hit...there may be no going back...we may try to delude ourselves again...reality is a difficult place to be...who knows what will happen? i will be venturing out into reality a bit later to keep the bureaucrats happily working by providing more paperwork to process...look for updates.