Thursday, May 7, 2020

i don't always disagree with the times

the call has come...i am recalled to work next monday...that this may be a pointless exercise is unseen by an elite that needs a greed fix and doesn't care if i die giving it to them...and the times pretty much agrees...
my state is in every one of these graphics of failure...and yet the state is "open" as of monday...the governor says ( and he is a politician so we should expect some divergence between "saying" and "doing" ) he will close the state again if there is a spike in new cases...i am skeptical of that...nationally the figures have seen a daily increase ranging from a low of 22593 to a high of 34129 ( per johns hopkins whose numbers and available data have increased dramatically as time goes on and are far fresher than cdc's...and, frankly, i am not certain whether the figures are emanating from the univeristy or the hospital..i am inclined to think university ) and are on the rise over the past three days, 22593, 23481, and 24134 respectively...
1228609 confirmed cases in the united states and 189910 "recovered" is revealing...people are falling ill 6.46 time faster than they are recovering by this measure...
of the 7759771 people tested in the united states to date 1228609 are confirmed positive...15.45% of those tested are positive...extrapolate that percentage out to the entire population ad you get around ( populations figures are "estimates" ) and you get around 49903500 cases nationwide...is that reflective of reality? i don't know...and with only 7759771 tests out of a population ( estimated ) of 323000000+ neither does anyone else...
here in the state the numbers are, as the times reported, not declining...in the last seven days new cases in the state have ranged between 837 and 514...with 526, 837, and 633 over the last three days respectively...in the county the seven day range has been between 42 and 83 with 63, 72, and 55 for the last three days' totals...so...i am thinking it is too early and that there will be a spike in new cases...this i think the governor will totally ignore...or, at least, diminish in his announcement to keep the state working...no doubt the pressure from the actual power brokers is acute...they need cash...one has to wonder whether the consumers are going to respond...my surmise is this is not nearly over...that it will be seasonal...viruses don't do well in warm and humid weather...that's why flu season starts in october...the efforts to synthesize a vaccine supports the seasonal premise...why pursue one if this is going away? sure there will be a lot of money in it...only if there is a need however...one wonders what the true motivation is.

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