i don't always disagree with the times

the call has come...i am recalled to work next monday...that this may be a pointless exercise is unseen by an elite that needs a greed fix and doesn't care if i die giving it to them...and the times pretty much agrees...

my state is in every one of these graphics of failure...and yet the state is "open" as of monday...the governor says ( and he is a politician so we should expect some divergence between "saying" and "doing" ) he will close the state again if there is a spike in new cases...i am skeptical of that...nationally the figures have seen a daily increase ranging from a low of 22593 to a high of 34129 ( per johns hopkins whose numbers and available data have increased dramatically as time goes on and are far fresher than cdc's...and, frankly, i am not certain whether the figures are emanating from the univeristy or the hospital..i am inclined to think university ) and are on the rise over the past three days, 22593, 23481, and 24134 respectively...

1228609 confirmed cases in the united states and 189910 "recovered" is revealing...people are falling ill 6.46 time faster than they are recovering by this measure...

of the 7759771 people tested in the united states to date 1228609 are confirmed positive...15.45% of those tested are positive...extrapolate that percentage out to the entire population ad you get around ( populations figures are "estimates" ) and you get around 49903500 cases nationwide...is that reflective of reality? i don't know...and with only 7759771 tests out of a population ( estimated ) of 323000000+ neither does anyone else...

here in the state the numbers are, as the times reported, not declining...in the last seven days new cases in the state have ranged between 837 and 514...with 526, 837, and 633 over the last three days respectively...in the county the seven day range has been between 42 and 83 with 63, 72, and 55 for the last three days' totals...so...i am thinking it is too early and that there will be a spike in new cases...this i think the governor will totally ignore...or, at least, diminish in his announcement to keep the state working...no doubt the pressure from the actual power brokers is acute...they need cash...one has to wonder whether the consumers are going to respond...my surmise is this is not nearly over...that it will be seasonal...viruses don't do well in warm and humid weather...that's why flu season starts in october...the efforts to synthesize a vaccine supports the seasonal premise...why pursue one if this is going away? sure there will be a lot of money in it...only if there is a need however...one wonders what the true motivation is.

political will, uncertainty, and you

what political will there is involved in this seems to be earnestly wishing it would just all go away ( and, as a side note, i wish linsey graham would go away...he won't...but he should keep his mouth shut...or, at least, mind his phraseology...he might give someone ideas when he overdoes the south carolina good ole boy verbiage...another whore politician we all could do without...it does, however, provide insight into the drive by the elite to reduce us all to debt penury...keep in mind, debt is what creates new money and the elite are convinced they are entitled to anything they can extort )...and the numbers are clearly whacked...but they are "official" so we will run with them until something less distorted turns up...

johns hopkins' seem the freshest numbers i cam find out there and they have changed the format they present them in which eases some of my undue reliance on the number of deaths in the country which the cdc provides but which complicates things somewhat in other areas...they are still giving us the total number of "confirmed" cases in the u s...which today is up by 22593...the increase has been holding in the twenty-thousands for the last nine days...fluctuating from 22 to 29 thousand... they've added the total deaths in the u s ...which is up by 1472 today...for the same nine days it has varied from 1300 and change to 2300 +...there are variations in both but they are consistent...

they are still providing figures on the officially "recovered"...and new confirmed illnesses are outrunning recoveries at a rate of three to one...recovery would seem to be a lengthier process than two weeks...

they stopped giving figured for cities and went instead to states...so no more direct figures on new york city...and no one has "recovered" in illiois or california? one wonders why not...this state mostly began "re-opening" yesterday...except for three counties, one of which i live in..which are "closed" until next monday...what purpose a week serves is unclear to me since new cases continue to be reported..between five and seven hundred a day state-wide and my county is averaging sixty new cases a day... in the county 18% of those tested are positive and 21% of those tested state-wide have the disease...extrapolate that out and there are possibly a lot more folks ill who have not been tested for one reason or another and you have to wonder if "re-opening" is a good idea...the political will to do so is there and that is what will be done...a spike in new cases and we all go home again...we'll see what happens...with the state, the country, the economy...and if this becomes a seasonal visitor like influenza or vanishes...with all the talk about vaccines one supposes the clerisy is expecting the former...the variables seem manifold and no one can see them all...empirical territory is where we are at...time to be inductive.

open for business...sorta

all but three counties in my state ( and the one i live in is one of the three ) have come off the "stay at home order" as of 11:59 p.m. last friday and the first tentative steps towards "normal" are due tomorrow because this whole covid thing is winding down, right?

admittedly this is not new york...however the death toll there has incresed from yesterday to today...and if is is "flattening out" i am reasonably sure the bereaved find that heartening...

same holds true for los angeles even if to a lesser degree...

and in a metropolis closer to home...

while across the country as a whole people are falling ill at a rate 2.54 times faster than they are "recovered"...in my state in the last week the death toll has ranged from 28 to 63 daily and in my "hot spot" county from 1 to 9 while new cases statewide average around 50 a day...

per the governor's executive order 20-26 retailer "re-opening" is a limited affair...

and they have to "protect" their employees...

and an understaffed and overworked "enforcement response team" is going to ensure that the rules are adhered to by corporate governance when they get around to it...not that corporate governance isn't going to do what it pleases as soon as any inspectors leave the premises...this is play acting and making a pretense of controlling sociopathic corporate structures...corporate governance is firmly in control here...civil government except as a control mechanism to keep the rabble in line is a fiction...

and in all this us old folk are supposed to still say at home at least until mid month and if there is a spike in new cases and icu admissions we all get to go home again until further notice..okay...this is the new "normal" and no one knows what will happen...too many variables for feeble human cognition...and i suppose you have to start somewhere...however starting when people are still sickening more quickly than the are recovering seems counter-intuitive if you are trying to control the spread and i am inclined to think we will all be going home again...except for those of us who do not leave...i have not come to a decision about that as yet...again the variables need consideration...certainly we are all on our own in this...distance comes in many forms.